Learnng is good--and so is humility. Butler won by two points in a great and close game.
Somewhere after the 2nd half began I had an, "Oh no!" moment and realized where I went wrong. Because of primary motion (planets rising in the East, setting in the West) the Moon is actually moving AWAY from cusp 4, not toward it. We can see this when we animate the chart: Cusp 4 gets farther away from the Moon, even as she continues forward in secondary (zodiacal) motion.
The first and only aspect that the Moon makes, then, is a square with Jupiter (Michigan State). Square being a difficult angle, this works against Michigan State. There is no other testimony involving the Moon as flow of action, and Butler is favored, so Butler wins. Congrats to Butler and its fans!
I've predicted a Duke win in the next game. I'll check the actual tip-off time and post the chart soon thereafter.